Intraday Signal NoteIntraday Signal Note
IDX · 04 Jun 2026

Disclaimer For research and educational purposes only. This dashboard shows the output of a systematic quantitative model and is not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Figures are modeled/backtested and hypothetical; past performance does not guarantee future results. Indonesian small- and mid-cap equities carry substantial liquidity and volatility risk. Do your own due diligence and consult a licensed adviser before acting. N R Capital Research Partner accepts no liability for decisions made on this material.Penafian Hanya untuk tujuan riset dan edukasi. Dasbor ini menyajikan keluaran model kuantitatif sistematis dan bukan nasihat investasi, rekomendasi, maupun penawaran untuk membeli atau menjual efek apa pun. Angka bersifat model/backtest dan hipotetis; kinerja masa lalu tidak menjamin hasil masa depan. Saham small- dan mid-cap Indonesia membawa risiko likuiditas dan volatilitas besar. Lakukan uji tuntas sendiri dan konsultasikan penasihat berlisensi sebelum bertindak. N R Capital Research Partner tidak bertanggung jawab atas keputusan berdasarkan materi ini.

Intraday Dy · 04 Jun 2026 close · t=1053 · regime -2.74 (Deep bear, ×0.30) · CASH (no deploy)Intraday Dy · tutup 04 Jun 2026 · t=1053 · rezim -2.74 (Deep bear, ×0.30) · KAS (tanpa deploy)

Intraday Signal — Deep bear (-2.74) · Latest Sleeve = CASHSinyal Intraday — Deep bear (-2.74) · Sleeve Terbaru = KAS

No deploy this session. 10 names ranked, 3 in universe, but no override fires and the regime multiplier (×0.30) keeps every combined score under the 0.7 floor.Tidak ada deploy sesi ini. 10 nama berperingkat, 3 dalam semesta, tetapi tak ada override dan pengali rezim (×0.30) menahan setiap skor gabungan di bawah batas 0.7. Regime moved -1.65 → -2.74 (-1.09) since the prior session.Rezim bergerak -1.65 → -2.74 (-1.09) sejak sesi sebelumnya.

Ranked picksPilihan berperingkat

model firedmodel menyala

In universeDalam semesta

7 excluded7 dikecualikan

Deploy candidatesKandidat deploy

CASHKAS

prob1 leaderprob1 teratas

0.828

APIC (out) (luar)

Regime tierTingkat rezim

Deep bearDeep bear

×0.30 · -2.74

Intraday Signal — Deep bear (-2.74) · Latest Sleeve = CASHSinyal Intraday — Deep bear (-2.74) · Sleeve Terbaru = KAS

No deploy this session. 10 names ranked, 3 in universe, but no override fires and the regime multiplier (×0.30) keeps every combined score under the 0.7 floor.Tidak ada deploy sesi ini. 10 nama berperingkat, 3 dalam semesta, tetapi tak ada override dan pengali rezim (×0.30) menahan setiap skor gabungan di bawah batas 0.7. Previous deploy (02 Jun 2026) realized +1.6% avg: BNBR +0.8% · TPIA +2.4%.Deploy sebelumnya (02 Jun 2026) terealisasi rata-rata +1.6%: BNBR +0.8% · TPIA +2.4%.

Latest-day signals — t=1053 (04 Jun 2026)Sinyal hari terbaru — t=1053 (04 Jun 2026)

RankPkt	TickerKode	NameNama	prob1	ch1d	StreakStreak	CombinedGabungan	DecisionKeputusan
1	APIC	Pacific Strategic Financial	0.828	-14.79%	5	0.30	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
2	PKPK	Paragon Karya Perkasa	0.697	-1.48%	5	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
3	TPIA	Chandra Asri Pacific	0.682	-14.86%	5	0.26	SKIPLEWATI
4	BANK	Bank Aladin Syariah	0.633	+0.00%	5	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
5	BDMN	Bank Danamon Indonesia	0.558	-4.67%	5	0.26	SKIPLEWATI
6	PACK	Abadi Nusantara Hijau Investama	0.555	-9.56%	5	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
7	BNBR	Bakrie & Brothers	0.536	-7.34%	40	0.22	SKIPLEWATI
8	JGLE	Graha Andrasentra Propertindo	0.512	+1.92%	4	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
9	MORA	Ekamas Mora Republik	0.509	-4.31%	4	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA
10	CYBR	ITSEC Asia	0.502	-4.27%	5	0.26	OUT OF UNIVERSELUAR SEMESTA

Deploy rule: in universe, then EITHER override (prob ≥ 0.82 AND prior close green) OR normal-path (prob ≥ 0.76 AND streak×regime×prob ≥ 0.7). Regime multiplier: bull/neutral ×1.00, mixed bear ×0.70, full bear ×0.50, deep bear ×0.30, extreme ×0 (cash).Aturan deploy: dalam semesta, lalu ATAU override (prob ≥ 0.82 DAN penutupan kemarin hijau) ATAU jalur-normal (prob ≥ 0.76 DAN streak×rezim×prob ≥ 0.7). Pengali rezim: bull/netral ×1,00, mixed bear ×0,70, full bear ×0,50, deep bear ×0,30, ekstrem ×0 (kas).

Equity curve — intraday deploy rule (NAV, start = 1.00)Kurva ekuitas — aturan deploy intraday (NAV, mulai = 1,00)

Deploy rule (5%/name, realized)Aturan deploy (5%/nama, realisasi)

Backtest of this dashboard's deploy rule across the whole file: full capital reallocated each day, split equally across the qualifying names. Each entry targets a +5% take-profit — realized as +5% when the next-day high (chfwd) reaches it, otherwise exited at the close (close-vs-open). Cash days flat. Cumulative since 25 Mar 2022: +851.3%. Hypothetical, no costs/slippage.Backtest aturan deploy dasbor ini sepanjang file: kapital dialokasikan ulang tiap hari, dibagi rata ke nama yang lolos. Tiap entri menargetkan take-profit +5% — direalisasi +5% bila tertinggi besok (chfwd) mencapainya, jika tidak keluar di penutupan (penutupan-vs-open). Hari kas datar. Kumulatif sejak 25 Mar 2022: +851.3%. Hipotetis, tanpa biaya/slippage.